GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stirling Albion are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Edinburgh City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Stirling Albion hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the League One, while Stirling Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stirling Albion

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionWWWDW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edinburgh CityLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Stirling AlbionEdinburgh City
35.1Attack35.2
47.4Defence9.3
35.1Form13.0
40.5Power23.1
1.89xG0.96
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