GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stirling Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Stirling Albion are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while East Kilbride are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stirling Albion hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Challenge Cup, while Stirling Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stirling Albion

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Stirling Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
East KilbrideWWWDW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power72.0
2.27xG1.79
View match centre →