GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stirling Albion are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Ayr Utd are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ayr Utd

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stirling AlbionWW

GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 5.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Ayr UtdWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Stirling AlbionAyr Utd
25.0Attack80.0
58.3Defence60.0
25.0Form80.0
37.8Power74.3
1.11xG1.93
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