Stilon Gorzówvs
Warta Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stilon Gorzów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Warta Gorzów
Original prediction
Stilon Gorzów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.3% | 49.9% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 23.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.7% | 26.5% | -15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Stilon Gorzów
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Stilon Gorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00