Stilon Gorzówvs
Barycz Sułów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barycz Sułów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stilon Gorzów 2-1 Barycz Sułów
Original prediction
Barycz Sułów
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.7% | 31.3% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 27.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.4% | 41.2% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Barycz Sułów
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Barycz Sułów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00