Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stevenage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wycombe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wycombe
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20