Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Stevenage

Stevenage

Home
L
10
Full time
Millwall

Millwall

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Millwall33%
Stevenage33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Stevenage
33%
Draw
33%
Millwall
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Stevenage
9
Millwall
54
Defence
Stevenage
27
Millwall
46
Momentum
Stevenage
0
Millwall
50
Danger (xG)
Stevenage
0.00
Millwall
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Stevenage)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Millwall)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Stevenage)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Millwall)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
StevenageStevenage
L
MillwallMillwall
WLLW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Stevenage33%
Draw33%
Millwall33%

Millwall leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Stevenage head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Millwall arrive in mixed form (LW). Stevenage have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Millwall over 2 games.

Tactically, Millwall hold the edge. Their decent attack (54/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Stevenage defence (27/100), while Stevenage's attack faces a average Millwall backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Stevenage have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Millwall have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Millwall have generated 1.38 xG per game recently while conceding 3.04 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Stevenage and Millwall in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Stevenage 3333%, Draw 3333%, Millwall 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Stevenage

Stevenage

L
@ Stockport County
13 May 2026
02
Millwall

Millwall

W
@ Eldense
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ FC Andorra
14 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Hull City
11 May 2026
02
W
@ Hull City
7 Mar 2026
31
xG 1.4

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Stevenage vs Millwall?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Millwall?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Millwall?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stevenage vs Millwall?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more