StevenagevsGillingham

Stevenage are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gillingham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.