Stevenagevs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/21/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stevenage are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00