Stevenagevs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/14/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stevenage are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20