Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202615:00Updated today
Stevenage

Stevenage

Home
L
vs
15:00
Colchester

Colchester

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Colchester33%
Stevenage33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Stevenage
33%
Draw
33%
Colchester
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Stevenage
9
Colchester
99
Defence
Stevenage
27
Colchester
91
Momentum
Stevenage
0
Colchester
100
Danger (xG)
Stevenage
0.00
Colchester
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Stevenage)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Colchester)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Stevenage)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Colchester)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
StevenageStevenage
L
ColchesterColchester
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Stevenage33%
Draw33%
Colchester33%

Colchester leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Stevenage head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Colchester arrive in mixed form (W). Stevenage have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Colchester over 1 games.

Tactically, Colchester hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Stevenage defence (27/100), while Stevenage's attack faces a watertight Colchester backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Stevenage have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Colchester have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Stevenage and Colchester in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Stevenage 3333%, Draw 3333%, Colchester 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Stevenage

Stevenage

L
@ Stockport County
13 May 2026
02
Colchester

Colchester

W
@ Heybridge Swifts
17 Jul 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Stevenage vs Colchester?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Colchester?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Colchester?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stevenage vs Colchester?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more