Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stevenage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Stevenage are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bromley are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stevenage hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Stevenage holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stevenage
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Stevenage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00