Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Österlen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Österlen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Räppe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Österlen hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Österlen holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Österlen
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
12.3%
Österlen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20