Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Österlen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Österlen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nosaby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Österlen holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Österlen
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Österlen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20