Österlenvs
Lilla Torg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Österlen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Österlen 3-3 Lilla Torg
Original prediction
Österlen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.2% | 51.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 22.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.3% | 26.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Österlen
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Österlen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40