Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Österlen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Berga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20