Stenungsundvs
Vänersborgs FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenungsund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenungsund 0-1 Vänersborgs FK
Original prediction
Stenungsund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.1% | 58.5% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 20.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.9% | 21.3% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Stenungsund
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Stenungsund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20