Stenungsundvs
IFK Skövde
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Skövde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenungsund 0-3 IFK Skövde
Original prediction
IFK Skövde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.8% | 34.0% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 26.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.0% | 39.5% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IFK Skövde
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
IFK Skövde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60