Stenungsundvs
Husqvarna
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Husqvarna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenungsund 2-0 Husqvarna
Original prediction
Husqvarna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.93 | 23.0% | 18.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 20.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 53.0% | 61.8% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Husqvarna
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Husqvarna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60