Stenungsundvs
Herrestads
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenungsund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenungsund 0-1 Herrestads
Original prediction
Stenungsund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.2% | 50.7% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 20.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.1% | 29.3% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Stenungsund
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Stenungsund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60