GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stenhousemuir are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rangers U21 are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers U21 hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Challenge Cup, while Rangers U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rangers U21

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Rangers U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StenhousemuirDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rangers U21WWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
StenhousemuirRangers U21
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.54xG2.14
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