Stenhousemuirvs
Raith Rovers
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Stenhousemuir 0-0 Raith Rovers, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenhousemuir 1-1 Raith Rovers
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 29.2% | 32.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.3% | 32.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 41.5% | 35.0% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.14 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Stenhousemuir 0–0 Raith Rovers
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StenhousemuirLWWWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Raith RoversWWLDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
44.4Attack50.0
85.2Defence80.0
81.5Form66.7
72.6Power65.9
0.73xG0.72