Stenhousemuirvs
Partick
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenhousemuir · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Stenhousemuir 1-0 Partick, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenhousemuir 1-0 Partick
Original prediction
Stenhousemuir
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.43 | 20.6% | 37.7% | 17.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.3% | 28.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.1% | 33.7% | -20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 3.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.1 pts
Projected Score
Stenhousemuir 1–0 Partick
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Stenhousemuir
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StenhousemuirLWWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PartickWDDLW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
StenhousemuirPartick
60.0Attack33.3
86.7Defence93.3
86.7Form73.3
79.7Power69.5
1.23xG0.73