Stenhousemuirvs
Inverness CT
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenhousemuir · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Stenhousemuir 1-0 Inverness CT, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenhousemuir 3-1 Inverness CT
Original prediction
Stenhousemuir
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.6% | 40.4% | 14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.8% | 28.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.6% | 31.0% | -15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Projected Score
Stenhousemuir 1–0 Inverness CT
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Stenhousemuir
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40