Stenhousemuirvs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of Midlothian
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.14 | 10.1% | 33.1% | 23.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.5% | 25.0% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 72.4% | 41.8% | -30.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20