GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stenhousemuir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Stenhousemuir are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Forfar Athletic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forfar Athletic hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the League Two, while Stenhousemuir holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stenhousemuir

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StenhousemuirWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Forfar AthleticLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StenhousemuirForfar Athletic
46.3Attack33.3
71.3Defence83.3
63.0Form66.7
61.4Power64.8
1.30xG0.72
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