GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stenhousemuir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Stenhousemuir are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dumbarton are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Stenhousemuir hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the League Two, while Stenhousemuir holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stenhousemuir

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StenhousemuirWLDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DumbartonWDDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
StenhousemuirDumbarton
46.3Attack16.7
71.3Defence66.7
63.0Form50.0
61.4Power47.8
1.41xG0.67
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