GGOALVIO

South-Africa · 8 Cup · 9/1/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stellenbosch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Stellenbosch are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mamelodi Sundowns are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mamelodi Sundowns hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the 8 Cup, while Stellenbosch holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stellenbosch

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Stellenbosch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StellenboschWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mamelodi SundownsLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
StellenboschMamelodi Sundowns
33.3Attack100.0
77.8Defence33.3
66.7Form100.0
62.6Power80.3
1.41xG1.34
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