Stellenbosch U23vs
Polokwane City U23
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Diski Challenge · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stellenbosch U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stellenbosch U23 2-1 Polokwane City U23
Original prediction
Stellenbosch U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.6% | 44.5% | -20.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.2% | 25.2% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 6.34 | 14.2% | 30.2% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Stellenbosch U23
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Stellenbosch U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20