USL League TwoUSL League Two
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Steel City

Steel City

Home
W
10
Full time
Northern Indiana

Northern Indiana

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Steel City(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Steel City
Win probability
Steel City
52%
Draw
27%
Northern Indiana
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Steel City
34
Northern Indiana
34
Defence
Steel City
91
Northern Indiana
66
Momentum
Steel City
100
Northern Indiana
50
Danger (xG)
Steel City
0.90
Northern Indiana
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Steel City)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Northern Indiana)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Steel City)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Northern Indiana)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Steel CitySteel City
W
Northern IndianaNorthern Indiana
LW

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Steel City52%
Draw27%
Northern Indiana21%

Steel City leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Steel City head into this in USL League Two fixture in mixed form (W), while Northern Indiana arrive in mixed form (LW). Steel City have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Northern Indiana over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Steel City (91/100) and Northern Indiana (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Steel City have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Northern Indiana have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Steel City have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Steel City to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Steel City 5228%, Draw 2685%, Northern Indiana 2087%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Steel City 1Draws 00 Northern Indiana
Avg goals: 1.0
17 Jul 2026
Steel City
W10
Northern Indiana

Recent form

Steel City

Steel City

W
vs Northern Indiana
17 Jul 2026
10
Northern Indiana

Northern Indiana

L
@ Steel City
17 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Toledo Villa
9 Jul 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Steel City vs Northern Indiana?

GoalVio's model predicts Steel City to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Steel City vs Northern Indiana?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Steel City vs Northern Indiana?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Steel City vs Northern Indiana?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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