Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Start are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tromso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.5% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
81.5%
Model confidence
81.5%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20