Startvs
Sandefjord
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandefjord · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Start 1-0 Sandefjord
Original prediction
Sandefjord
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.9% | 32.8% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.4% | 27.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.8% | 39.7% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sandefjord
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Sandefjord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20