Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KFUM Oslo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Start 4-1 KFUM Oslo
Original prediction
KFUM Oslo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.2% | 30.1% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.6% | 24.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 27.2% | 45.8% | 18.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
KFUM Oslo
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
KFUM Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StartLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KFUM OsloDWWLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
StartKFUM Oslo
31.4Attack37.3
25.5Defence47.1
19.6Form37.3
28.6Power42.8
1.03xG1.60