Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Start 2-0 Brann
Original prediction
Brann
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.8% | 16.9% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.7% | 17.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 46.5% | 65.6% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StartLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BrannLDWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StartBrann
35.1Attack64.9
28.1Defence49.1
22.8Form45.6
31.1Power53.0
1.09xG2.74