Stargard Szczecińskivs
Grom Nowy Staw
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stargard Szczeciński · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stargard Szczeciński 3-1 Grom Nowy Staw
Original prediction
Stargard Szczeciński
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.7% | 45.2% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 25.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 29.6% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Stargard Szczeciński
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Stargard Szczeciński has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00