Star Starachowicevs
Wisłoka Dębica
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisłoka Dębica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Star Starachowice 2-3 Wisłoka Dębica
Original prediction
Wisłoka Dębica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.2% | 33.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 28.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.5% | 38.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Wisłoka Dębica
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Wisłoka Dębica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40