GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/3/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Star Starachowice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chełmianka Chełm are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 67.0-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 90.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Chełmianka Chełm holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chełmianka Chełm

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Star StarachowiceWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chełmianka ChełmWLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Star StarachowiceChełmianka Chełm
22.2Attack66.7
22.2Defence100.0
11.1Form100.0
23.1Power90.0
1.09xG2.13
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