GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busko-Zdroj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Star Starachowice are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Busko-Zdroj are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Busko-Zdroj hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Busko-Zdroj holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busko-Zdroj

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Busko-Zdroj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Star StarachowiceLDLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Busko-ZdrojLWDWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Star StarachowiceBusko-Zdroj
22.2Attack55.6
22.2Defence33.3
11.1Form44.4
23.1Power45.9
1.50xG1.85
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