Stanway Roversvs
Three Bridges
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Three Bridges · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stanway Rovers 1-3 Three Bridges
Original prediction
Three Bridges
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.4% | 30.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 23.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.0% | 46.4% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Three Bridges
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Three Bridges has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40