Stanway Roversvs
Cheshunt
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cheshunt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stanway Rovers 3-0 Cheshunt
Original prediction
Cheshunt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 24.8% | 25.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 25.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Cheshunt
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Cheshunt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00