Standard Liège IIvs
Tubize
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tubize · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liège II 0-1 Tubize
Original prediction
Tubize
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.65 | 19.4% | 29.7% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.5% | 26.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.1% | 44.0% | -16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Tubize
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Tubize has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40