Standard Liège IIvs
Onhaye
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liège II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liège II 4-1 Onhaye
Original prediction
Standard Liège II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 44.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 27.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.3% | 27.7% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liège II
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Standard Liège II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60