GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Meux · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Standard Liège II 0-1 Meux

Original prediction

Meux

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2340.6%35.4%-5.1 pts
Draw3.3527.0%27.9%0.9 pts
Away2.7832.5%36.7%4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–19%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Meux

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Meux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Standard Liège IILLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MeuxWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Standard Liège IIMeux
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.23xG1.38
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