Standard Liège IIvs
Flénu
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liège II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liège II 1-0 Flénu
Original prediction
Standard Liège II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.4% | 53.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 24.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.7% | 23.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liège II
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Standard Liège II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80