Standard Liège IIvs
Albert Quévy-Mons
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albert Quévy-Mons · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liège II 3-2 Albert Quévy-Mons
Original prediction
Albert Quévy-Mons
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.28 | 16.9% | 26.0% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.6% | 27.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 59.6% | 46.6% | -12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Albert Quévy-Mons
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Albert Quévy-Mons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80