Standard Liege Wvs
OH Leuven W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OH Leuven W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege W 0-5 OH Leuven W
Original prediction
OH Leuven W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.92 | 12.8% | 27.2% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.2% | 26.7% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 66.9% | 46.2% | -20.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
OH Leuven W
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
OH Leuven W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80