Standard Liege Wvs
Genk W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 10/3/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege W 0-2 Genk W
Original prediction
Standard Liege W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.6% | 39.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 30.8% | 34.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege W
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Standard Liege W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40