Standard Liege Wvs
Anderlecht W
COMPLETEDBelgium · Super League Women · 10/24/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Standard Liege W 0-4 Anderlecht W
Original prediction
Anderlecht W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.66 | 9.3% | 18.9% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.36 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 74.1% | 60.0% | -14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht W
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Anderlecht W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80