GGOALVIO

Belgium · Super League Women · 9/16/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Standard Liege W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Standard Liege W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Anderlecht W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht W hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Super League Women, while Standard Liege W holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Standard Liege W

Probability

33.6%

Model confidence

33.6%

Standard Liege W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Standard Liege WWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Anderlecht WWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Standard Liege WAnderlecht W
73.8Attack94.0
73.8Defence73.8
78.6Form81.0
74.7Power80.3
1.33xG1.33
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