GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/4/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union St. Gilloise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Standard Liege are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Union St. Gilloise holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union St. Gilloise

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Union St. Gilloise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Standard LiegeLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 2.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Union St. GilloiseLWWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Standard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
66.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power74.3
1.37xG1.72
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